Week 4 Picks: Part 1

We’re almost getting to the point where this prediction model is going to change. One more week to straighten things out, and then it’s going to get tossed out the window. A couple of games came down to a few calls one way or the other (damn you replacement refs) and they more often than not went the wrong way for me.

So the overall stands at 22-26 after a putrid 4-12 week.


Moving on.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens—Thursday, 8:20pm

One of the more entertaining games of the week last Sunday, expectedly so, was the Pats-Ravens tilt. It went down to the final seconds, and ended, again, on a last second kick. Unlike the AFC Championship game, this one went the way of the Ravens, sending the Patriots under the .500 mark for the first time since 2001, and made Bill Belichick 50k poorer for grabbing one of the “refs'” arms.

Joe Flacco and Co. looked out of sorts early, but got it together to rack up over 500 yards of offense.

Cleveland is looking to put an end to some bleak streaks that it has going on right now which include (per ESPN): 11 straight division losses, 11 straight road division losses, and nine straight losses dating back to last November.

It’s a crappy proposition for both teams to turn around on short weeks, the Ravens even more so after a late night game, but such is the new NFL with a Thursday game every week. (I’m suffering through it too, boys, with all these damn reviews.)

I’m sure it’ll be a “hard fought contest” but there’s nothing at all that leads me to believe Cleveland really stands a chance. They’ll be back to 0-4 for the first time, surprisingly, since 2009. Ravens win 38-17


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I'm an editor for Associations Now, a magazine pubished by ASAE: The Center for Association Leadership. I live in Springfield, VA with my amazing wife, and am enjoying the ride that life is taking me on.


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2 Comments on “Week 4 Picks: Part 1”

  1. Conrad Iwanicki
    September 27, 2012 at 3:14 am #

    Interesting pick! Maybe you’d be interested in viewing my blog? I developed a team ratings system that uses 18 different team stats. Spent the past year developing it, long story short, it was tested against every game from 2003-2011 and went 73% SU and 66% ATS…in its first wk of “real-time” testing in wk 3 it went 10-5-1. So yeah check out my wk 4 picks, always curious to hear other people’s take.



  1. Week 4 Picks: Part 2 | Orange Husky Productions - September 29, 2012

    […] Week 4 Picks: Part 2 That’s what I’m talkin’ bout! […]

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