Week 11 Picks: Part 1

So the switch did no good for the Eagles last week, but I still finished 9-5 bringing the season tally up to 85-61.

On to the next one.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills—Thursday, 8:20pm

In the clash of perennial basement dwellers in the AFC East, Buffalo and Miami are both looking to put an end to their recent slides. The Bills have dropped their last three while the Dolphins hope to end their two-game skid.

This one’s a hard read for a couple of reasons.

The Bills will be without their stalwart back, Fred Jackson. But they have a more-than-able fill-in in C.J. Spiller—currently the league leader in yards per carry at just over seven. Ryan Fitzpatrick has played better than his career numbers, but his defense hasn’t been kind to him in some of his better performances (including last week’s 37-31 loss at New England, and a 35-34 Week 7 loss against Tennessee).

Miami, on the other hand, has had some good wins and two rough OT losses, but the past two weeks have been rather ugly. First they let Andrew Luck set a rookie record by throwing for 433 yards against them, then the defense just didn’t show up—the offense either for that matter—in a 37-3 home loss to the Titans.

Now these teams hope to sort their messes out against one another.

My pick in this one is based solely on how the teams have done in recent games, and in all honesty, the Bills are really unlucky to have gone 0-3 in their last three games. They were competitive in all three, and, with the exception of the Titans, they were not easy games (at New England and at Houston). If they play like they have been and the defense steps up just a little bit, they should be able to walk away with this one. Bills win 27-21


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I'm an editor for Associations Now, a magazine pubished by ASAE: The Center for Association Leadership. I live in Springfield, VA with my amazing wife, and am enjoying the ride that life is taking me on.


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